HomePortfoliosRegime Compass Oktober 2026 Dollar

Regime Compass Oktober 2026 Dollar

Monthly Rebalancing
USD
Moderate Risk
11.0yr backtest

Performance Summary

Total Return+242.55%
Annualized Return+11.83%
Volatility+11.98%
Sharpe Ratio0.82
Max Drawdown+25.70%

Holdings

Asset Allocation

Asset Class

Equity 48.0%Bonds 25.0%Commodities 23.0%Money Market 4.0%
Holdings Details
Diversified ETF portfolio blending US growth stocks, energy, commodities, T-bills, and dollar exposure for balanced growth and inflation protection.
AssetTypeAllocationTER
BIL.US
SPDR® Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF • US78468R6633
ETF
25.0%0.14%
PDBC.US
Invesco Optimum Yield Diversified Commodity Strategy No K-1 ETF • US46090F1003
ETF
23.0%0.59%
MGK.US
Vanguard Mega Cap Growth Index Fund ETF Shares • US9219108167
ETF
16.0%0.07%
XLE.US
Energy Select Sector SPDR® Fund • US81369Y5069
ETF
14.0%0.09%
SPMO.US
Invesco S&P 500® Momentum ETF • US46138E3392
ETF
11.0%0.13%
SPY.US
State Street® SPDR® S&P 500® ETF Trust • US78462F1030
ETF
6.0%0.0945%
UUP.US
Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund • US46141D2036
ETF
4.0%0.77%
EEM.US
iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF • US4642872349
ETF
1.0%0.68%
Total100.0%0.25%

Performance

Portfolio Value Over Time
Starting with $10,000 investment → now worth $34,255.22
Histogram of Monthly Returns
The portfolio had a positive return during 92 of the 133 months (69%)
Monthly Returns Heatmap
Best month: +15.4% • Worst month: -12.0% • Best year: 2021 (+40.6%) • Worst year: 2018 (-5.8%)
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
2026+4.2%+1.3%+3.4%+6.3%+1.4%-2.6%+2.6%+3.6%+1.4%+1.3%--+24.9%
2025+2.0%+0.1%-1.7%-3.5%+3.6%+3.7%+2.3%+0.7%+1.8%+1.2%+0.3%-0.1%+10.9%
2024+1.6%+2.9%+3.4%-1.1%+2.2%+2.1%-0.8%+0.3%+0.5%+0.6%+2.9%-1.1%+14.2%
2023+2.8%-2.8%+1.8%+1.0%-2.3%+3.8%+4.2%+0.4%-0.6%-1.6%+2.9%+0.8%+10.5%
2022+2.0%+1.3%+4.7%-2.4%+3.0%-6.9%+4.4%-1.2%-6.0%+7.1%+1.9%-0.3%+7.1%
2021+1.1%+5.6%+1.1%+4.0%+1.3%+3.4%+0.1%+0.7%+0.7%+5.2%-2.8%+15.4%+40.6%
2020-2.4%-5.9%-12.0%+8.6%+3.9%+2.1%+2.8%+4.1%-4.2%-2.4%+9.1%+2.9%+4.4%
2019+6.3%+2.2%+1.2%+1.5%-4.7%+4.1%+0.3%-2.5%+1.0%+0.6%+1.4%+2.5%+14.6%
2018+3.6%-2.9%-0.5%+2.6%+2.4%-0.3%+0.8%+1.2%+1.3%-5.6%-2.4%-5.6%-5.8%
2017+0.3%+1.2%-1.0%-0.2%-0.2%-0.2%+2.1%-0.3%+2.2%+2.4%+1.3%+1.6%+9.5%
2016-3.3%-0.6%+4.3%+3.5%+0.6%+1.2%-0.2%+0.5%+1.5%-0.9%+1.9%+1.8%+10.6%
2015---------+0.2%-1.1%-3.8%-4.6%
> +2%
0% to +2%
-2% to 0%
< -2%
Drawdown Analysis
Maximum drawdown: +25.70% • The longest drawdown period lasted for 2 years and 1 month and was between October 2018 and November 2020. It reached a trough of -25.7%.
When could this portfolio get you to financial independence?

Regime Compass Oktober 2026 Dollar returned +11.83% a year over the 11 years above. Run those same monthly returns forward through 10,000 simulated paths, with your own savings and target retirement age, to see when they could reach your FIRE number.

Dividend Income

Summary
This portfolio contains 8 distributing ETFs (100.0% of total allocation)

Total Dividends Received

$5,971.29

315 payments

Dividend Yield

3.19%

(annualized)

Avg Per Payment

$18.96

per event

All dividends are automatically reinvested at the payment date. The portfolio value shown includes the compounding effect of dividend reinvestment.

Annual Breakdown
Dividend income per calendar year
YearDividends
2026$343.83
2025$664.28
2024$684.80
2023$622.47
2022$761.64
2021$2,054.38
2020$117.59
2019$173.44
2018$135.03
2017$187.34
2016$211.35
2015$15.13
Total$5,971.29

Detailed Metrics

Returns
Total Return
+242.55%
Annualized Return
+11.83%
Avg Monthly Return
+0.98%
Risk
Volatility (Annual)
+11.98%
Max Drawdown
+25.70%
Positive Months
69%
Average Drawdown
-3.3%
Risk-Adjusted
Sharpe Ratio
0.82
Risk-free rate: 2.0%
Sortino Ratio
0.77
Downside risk adjusted
Return/Volatility
0.99
Calmar Ratio
0.46
Return/Max Drawdown
Ulcer Index
4.56
Drawdown depth & duration
Martin Ratio
0.02
Return/Ulcer Index
Backtest Configuration
Initial Investment
$10,000
Final Value
$34,255.22
Backtest Period
2015-10-12 to 2026-10-16
11.0 years
Rebalancing
monthly
Base Currency
USD